Education ROI and student debt calculator

Compare two paths, such as an MBA versus staying in your job, or an apprenticeship versus a four-year degree. See total cost, what you would owe, monthly payments, when the investment breaks even, and how sensitive that answer is to your assumptions.

Scenario projection Results are transparent what-if models using your inputs. They are not forecasts, guarantees, or financial advice. Your numbers stay in your browser and are never sent to ConnectPrep.

Prefilled from official data: Arizona State University Digital Immersion, Community Organization and Advocacy (Bachelor's degree); Arizona State University Digital Immersion tuition. Every value is editable.

Set every assumption yourself.

Pathway A

Source: Arizona State University Digital Immersion, Community Organization and Advocacy (Bachelor's degree): median earnings 1 year after completion (College Scorecard)

Occupation wages cover all workers, so new entrants often earn closer to the lower percentiles.

Pathway B

Occupation wages cover all workers, so new entrants often earn closer to the lower percentiles.

Model assumptions

Results Scenario projection

Add earnings for Pathway B to get meaningful results. Until then the figures below are incomplete.

Total cost, Pathway A
$0
after grants, $0 before
Amount owed at repayment
$0
$0 borrowed
Monthly loan payment
$0
10 years at 0%
Break-even year
Year 1
when Pathway A catches up with Pathway B
20-year advantage
$1,197,559
Pathway A minus Pathway B, cumulative, pre-tax
Present value advantage
$869,528
discounted at 3%
Debt to starting earnings
0.00x
amount owed / first year earnings
Loan payments, share of income
0.0%
first year after study, pre-tax
$0K$599K$1.2MBreak-even, year 1Yr 1Yr 5Yr 10Yr 15Yr 20
Pathway A vs. Pathway B: cumulative pre-tax earnings minus education costs and loan payments.

Under these assumptions, Pathway A costs $0 after grants, and you would owe $0 when repayment starts, about $0 a month. Its cumulative pre-tax earnings, net of costs and loan payments, catch up with Pathway B in year 1 and lead by $1,197,559 after 20 years. This is a scenario model, not a prediction of your results.

Conservative, moderate, and optimistic scenarios for Pathway A

ScenarioStarting earningsGrowthBreak-even20-yr advantage
conservative$39,8491.5%Year 1$921,452
moderate$46,8812.5%Year 1$1,197,559
optimistic$53,9133.5%Year 1$1,524,647

Starting earnings are 15% below, equal to, and 15% above your entry. Pick an occupation to use official wage percentiles instead.

What moves the result most

If this changesBreak-even20-yr advantageChange
Starting earnings 20% higherYear 1$1,437,071+$239,512
Starting earnings 20% lowerYear 1$958,047-$239,512
Earnings growth 1 point lowerYear 1$1,084,061-$113,498
Six more months to find a jobYear 1$1,174,119-$23,441
Tuition 20% higherYear 1$1,197,559$0
Tuition 20% lowerYear 1$1,197,559$0
Interest rate 2 points higherYear 1$1,197,559$0
Year by year detail
YearPathway A earningsOut of pocketLoan paymentPathway A cumulativePathway B cumulative
1$46,881$0$0$46,881$0
2$48,053$0$0$94,934$0
3$49,254$0$0$144,188$0
4$50,486$0$0$194,674$0
5$51,748$0$0$246,422$0
6$53,042$0$0$299,463$0
7$54,368$0$0$353,831$0
8$55,727$0$0$409,558$0
9$57,120$0$0$466,678$0
10$58,548$0$0$525,226$0
11$60,012$0$0$585,237$0
12$61,512$0$0$646,749$0
13$63,050$0$0$709,799$0
14$64,626$0$0$774,425$0
15$66,242$0$0$840,667$0
16$67,898$0$0$908,564$0
17$69,595$0$0$978,159$0
18$71,335$0$0$1,049,494$0
19$73,118$0$0$1,122,613$0
20$74,946$0$0$1,197,559$0

How this calculator works

  1. Each year is either a study year or a work year. Study years add tuition, fees, and any extra living costs, minus grants, increasing with the tuition growth rate you set.
  2. The share you borrow is disbursed during each study year. An origination fee is added to the amount owed, and unsubsidized interest accrues until study ends. Repayment then follows a fixed monthly payment over the term you choose.
  3. Net cash flow each year is earnings minus out-of-pocket education costs minus loan payments, before taxes. The break-even year is the first year Pathway A's cumulative net catches Pathway B's and stays ahead.
  4. Present value discounts future amounts at your discount rate. Scenarios change Pathway A's starting earnings and growth; sensitivity changes one input at a time.

Limitations: taxes, employer tuition benefits, income-driven repayment (RAP), forgiveness programs, and investment returns are not modeled. Occupation wages describe all workers, not new graduates, and program earnings describe past cohorts. See the full methodology.

Education ROI and Student Debt Calculator: Is the Degree Worth It? | ConnectPrep Career Intelligence